For the first time that I’ve been living on Kaua’i (10 years this fall), a named tropical storm is predicted to hit the island. This image says it all:
Click to enlarge. Source: Central Pacific Hurricane Center
The 2AM TUES mark is right on the island of Kaua’i. However, there are a few more details that are relevant:
- Another map shows only a 20% chance of winds greater than 39 mph (62 km/h) on Kaua’i.
- Hence, the storm is predicted to weaken to a tropical depression.
- Previous storm track predictions showed Flossie passing over the Big Island and south of Kaua’i, so it could change track again.
Still, there is a for all islands, and all ocean sectors around the islands. That makes for an all-red map:
Source: National Weather Service, Honolulu Weather Forecast Office
Note that the Tropical Storm Warning includes the Flash Flood Watch. In addition to the winds, the storm is expected to bring 4-8 inches (100-200 mm) of rain to Kaua’i, with up to 12 inches (300 mm) on the windward side.
Needless to say, do not plan any hiking or swimming from today through Wednesday. Conditions can get rainy and streams start to run high by this afternoon. After the storm, trails will be muddy and the ocean will be murky from the run-off for a few days.